{"id":536437,"date":"2026-01-20T12:13:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-20T12:13:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.constructionnews.co.uk\/?p=536437"},"modified":"2026-01-20T12:16:55","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T12:16:55","slug":"construction-downturn-could-give-way-to-phoenix-moment-says-glenigan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.constructionnews.co.uk\/sections\/data\/construction-downturn-could-give-way-to-phoenix-moment-says-glenigan-20-01-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Construction downturn could give way to \u2018phoenix moment\u2019, says Glenigan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>UK construction activity fell sharply in 2025, but conditions are emerging that could support a \u201cphoenix moment\u201d recovery this year, industry analyst Glenigan has said.<\/p>\n<p>The value of projects starting on site dropped by 20 per cent year-on-year in 2025, according to its <em>Construction Review<\/em> for January.<\/p>\n<p>But conditions are beginning to stabilise for sub-\u00a3100m projects and jobs worth more than \u00a3100m, said <a href=\"https:\/\/www.constructionnews.co.uk\/cn-intelligence\/building-momentum-uk-construction-outlook-2026-27-06-01-2026\/\">Glenigan economics director Allan Wilen<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile UK construction is certainly down at the start of 2026, it\u2019s by no means out,\u201d he said. \u201cWe\u2019re starting to see the conditions emerge that could support a \u2018phoenix moment\u2019 for the industry.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He added: \u201cWhile it\u2019s going to take a little time, the chancellor\u2019s Autumn Statement gave a far clearer funding commitment which will hopefully get shovels in the ground, plans approved and contracts awarded on a wide range of capital projects.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis could further be the key to unlocking both private investors and in turn, consumer confidence; we\u2019re already seeing the key starting to turn with a recent upsurge in office and industrial activity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Detailed planning approvals declined by 8 per cent and main contract awards fell by 11 per cent last year compared with 2024, Glenigan noted in its latest report.<\/p>\n<p>It said that activity improved slightly towards the end of 2025, although the construction sector\u2019s overall performance for the year remained well below previous levels.<\/p>\n<p>Wilen said that last year\u2019s downturn reflected a combination of high interest rates, weak investor confidence, ongoing cost pressures and policy uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOnce again, it feels like the industry has been stuck in a vicious cycle where any established momentum suddenly vanishes,\u201d he said. \u201cIssues that under normal circumstances would be unremarkable can have an immediate impact on confidence and activity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Despite the overall decline, Glenigan said non-residential sectors performed strongly. Office project starts increased by 32 per cent during 2025, while industrial starts rose by 31 per cent year-on-year.<\/p>\n<p>Industrial activity was driven largely by manufacturing, warehouse and logistics projects, with growth recorded across Yorkshire and the Humber, the South East and Wales.<\/p>\n<p>Office construction benefited from new-build and refurbishment schemes, alongside growing demand for data centres.<\/p>\n<p>Glenigan forecasts office activity will increase by 13 per cent next year, and it predicts\u00a012 per cent growth in the industrial sector during 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Hotel and leisure construction also recorded growth, with project starts rising by 12 per cent. Glenigan highlighted strong performance in indoor leisure and sports facilities, with further growth of 5 per cent forecast for 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Community and amenity projects saw a 68 per cent rise in starts during 2025, although Glenigan expects activity in the sector to fall back by 16 per cent this year.<\/p>\n<p>Civils recorded the steepest fall in starts, down 56 per cent year-on-year. However, Glenigan reported a 90 per cent increase in detailed planning approvals and a 1 per cent rise in main contract awards, suggesting a stronger pipeline of future work.<\/p>\n<p>The firm forecasts civils activity will grow by 17 per cent in 2026, supported by investment in electricity networks, renewables and water infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>Housing activity declined during 2025 following tax changes, inflation and high borrowing costs. Glenigan is forecasting a 6 per cent recovery in 2026 following recent interest rate cuts and continued investment in social and affordable housing.<\/p>\n<p>Health and education construction also fell back, with starts down 21 per cent and 26 per cent respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Glenigan expects both sectors to return to growth in 2026, though.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK construction activity fell sharply in 2025, but conditions are emerging that could support a \u201cphoenix moment\u201d recovery this year, industry analyst Glenigan has said. The value of projects starting on site dropped by 20 per cent year-on-year in 2025, according to its Construction Review for January. But conditions are beginning to stabilise for sub-\u00a3100m &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":135716,"featured_media":484345,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[78193],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-536437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-data"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.7 (Yoast SEO v26.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Construction downturn could give way to \u2018phoenix moment\u2019, says Glenigan | Construction News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"UK construction activity fell sharply in 2025, but conditions are emerging that could support a \u201cphoenix moment\u201d recovery this year, industry analyst\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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